{"id":20106,"date":"2019-11-05T08:41:57","date_gmt":"2019-11-05T07:41:57","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/cassandraprogram.info\/megharomszorozodott-a-fenyegetettseg-a-tengerszint-novekedesevel-kapcsolatban\/"},"modified":"2019-11-05T08:41:57","modified_gmt":"2019-11-05T07:41:57","slug":"megharomszorozodott-a-fenyegetettseg-a-tengerszint-novekedesevel-kapcsolatban","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/cassandraprogram.info\/en\/megharomszorozodott-a-fenyegetettseg-a-tengerszint-novekedesevel-kapcsolatban\/","title":{"rendered":"Megh\u00e1rom&shy;szoro&shy;z\u00f3dott a fenyegetetts\u00e9g a tengerszint n\u00f6veked\u00e9s\u00e9vel kapcsolatban"},"content":{"rendered":"<p><mark>A legt\u00f6bb becsl\u00e9s szerint az \u00e1tlagos tengerszint-emelked\u00e9s ebben az \u00e9vsz\u00e1zadban 2 m\u00e9ter al\u00e1 esik. Ennek az \u00e9rt\u00e9knek a meghat\u00e1roz\u00e1s\u00e1hoz a DEM &#8211; digit\u00e1lis emelked\u00e9si modellt, haszn\u00e1lj\u00e1k a glob\u00e1lis \u00e9s orsz\u00e1gonk\u00e9nti lakoss\u00e1g tengerparti v\u00edzszintek eset\u00e9ben megl\u00e9v\u0151 kitetts\u00e9g\u00e9nek felm\u00e9r\u00e9s\u00e9re (ilyen p\u00e9ld\u00e1ul a NASA SRTM &#8211; Shuttle Radar Topography Mission). A CoastalDEM egy \u00faj modell, amely neur\u00e1lis h\u00e1l\u00f3zat seg\u00edts\u00e9g\u00e9vel cs\u00f6kkenti a kor\u00e1bbi SRTM pontatlans\u00e1g\u00e1t.<\/mark><\/p>\n<p>Tanulm\u00e1nyunkban azt mutatjuk be &#8211; a CoastalDEM seg\u00edts\u00e9g\u00e9vel -, hogy jelenleg glob\u00e1lisan 190 milli\u00f3 ember lakik olyan ter\u00fcleten, ami a 2100-ra alacsony sz\u00e9n-dioxid-kibocs\u00e1t\u00e1s mellett el\u0151re jelzett dag\u00e1lyvonal alatt fekszik, ez a jelenlegi 110 milli\u00f3hoz k\u00e9pest 80 milli\u00f3s n\u00f6veked\u00e9s. Ezek az adatok az SRTM-alap\u00fa \u00e9rt\u00e9kek h\u00e1romszoros\u00e1t jelentik. A CoastalDEM magas kibocs\u00e1t\u00e1si szintek melletti el\u0151rejelz\u00e9se szerint a 2100-ra el\u0151re jelzett \u00e9ves \u00e1rv\u00edzszint alatti ter\u00fcleten \u00e9l\u0151 emberek sz\u00e1ma el\u00e9rheti a 630 milli\u00f3t, m\u00edg az \u00e9vsz\u00e1zad k\u00f6zep\u00e9re n\u00e9zve ez a sz\u00e1m ak\u00e1r 340 milli\u00f3 embert is jelenthet, szemben a jelenlegi nagyj\u00e1b\u00f3l 250 milli\u00f3val. Becsl\u00e9sek szerint napjainkban egymilli\u00e1rd ember lakik a jelenlegi dag\u00e1lyvonaln\u00e1l kevesebb, mint 10\u00a0m\u00e9terrel magasabb helyeken, ebb\u0151l 230\u00a0milli\u00f3 olyan ter\u00fcleten, ami mind\u00f6ssze 1\u00a0m\u00e9terrel magasabb a jelenlegi dag\u00e1lyvonaln\u00e1l.<\/p>\n<p>A teljes cikk eredeti nyelven <a href=\"https:\/\/www.nature.com\/articles\/s41467-019-12808-z\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">itt<\/a> el\u00e9rhet\u0151.<\/p>\n<p class=\"own-last-p\">A bejegyz\u00e9s a Nature Communications oldalon 2019-ben k\u00f6z\u00f6lt \u00edr\u00e1s alapj\u00e1n k\u00e9sz\u00fclt.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>A legt\u00f6bb becsl\u00e9s szerint az \u00e1tlagos tengerszint-emelked\u00e9s ebben az \u00e9vsz\u00e1zadban 2 m\u00e9ter al\u00e1 esik. Ennek az \u00e9rt\u00e9knek a meghat\u00e1roz\u00e1s\u00e1hoz a DEM &#8211; digit\u00e1lis emelked\u00e9si modellt, haszn\u00e1lj\u00e1k a glob\u00e1lis \u00e9s orsz\u00e1gonk\u00e9nti lakoss\u00e1g tengerparti v\u00edzszintek eset\u00e9ben megl\u00e9v\u0151 kitetts\u00e9g\u00e9nek felm\u00e9r\u00e9s\u00e9re (ilyen p\u00e9ld\u00e1ul a NASA SRTM &#8211; Shuttle Radar Topography Mission). A CoastalDEM egy \u00faj modell, amely neur\u00e1lis h\u00e1l\u00f3zat [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":294,"featured_media":20107,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[1671],"tags":[1746,2083,2084,2042,1863,1864,1866,1867,2045,2085,1793,1882,2086,1899,1907,2087,2088,2075,1807,2089,2090,2091,2061,2092,2093,2094,2095,2096,1831,2097,2098,2099,2014,2100,1835,2030,2032,2033,2101,2034,1842,2035,2102,2036],"bejegyzestipus":[209],"felkeszuleskategoria":[],"forraskategoria":[2349,2353,2354,2342,2341,2355,2350,2348,2344,2340,2352],"mediatipus":[],"nyelv":[34,35],"class_list":["post-20106","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-uncategorized","tag-aramlas","tag-aramlatok","tag-arviz","tag-bioszfera","tag-co2","tag-co2elnyeles","tag-csapadek","tag-csapadekkepzodes","tag-edesviz","tag-egyenlito","tag-ehezes","tag-emelkedes","tag-felhokepzodes","tag-felmelegedes","tag-gat","tag-halaszat","tag-hidroszfera","tag-keszlet","tag-kiszaradas","tag-korall","tag-lanina","tag-mikromuanyag","tag-oceanok","tag-ontozes","tag-parolgas","tag-plankton","tag-savasodas","tag-sotlanitas","tag-tapanyag","tag-tavak","tag-tenger","tag-tengerek","tag-tengerszint","tag-tengerviz","tag-termeszet","tag-viz","tag-vizgazdalkodas","tag-vizhozam","tag-vizkorforgas","tag-vizmennyiseg","tag-vizminoseg","tag-vizszint","tag-viztarolas","tag-viztarozo","bejegyzestipus-forras","forraskategoria-edesvizi","forraskategoria-felszin-alatti-vizek","forraskategoria-felszini-vizek","forraskategoria-gleccserek","forraskategoria-jeg","forraskategoria-ocean","forraskategoria-oceani","forraskategoria-okoszisztemak","forraskategoria-tengerjeg","forraskategoria-termeszeti-rendszerek","forraskategoria-viz","nyelv-angol-nyelvu","nyelv-magyar-nyelvu"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/cassandraprogram.info\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/20106","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/cassandraprogram.info\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/cassandraprogram.info\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/cassandraprogram.info\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/294"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/cassandraprogram.info\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=20106"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/cassandraprogram.info\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/20106\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/cassandraprogram.info\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/20107"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/cassandraprogram.info\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=20106"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/cassandraprogram.info\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=20106"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/cassandraprogram.info\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=20106"},{"taxonomy":"bejegyzestipus","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/cassandraprogram.info\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/bejegyzestipus?post=20106"},{"taxonomy":"felkeszuleskategoria","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/cassandraprogram.info\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/felkeszuleskategoria?post=20106"},{"taxonomy":"forraskategoria","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/cassandraprogram.info\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/forraskategoria?post=20106"},{"taxonomy":"mediatipus","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/cassandraprogram.info\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/mediatipus?post=20106"},{"taxonomy":"nyelv","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/cassandraprogram.info\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/nyelv?post=20106"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}